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R**Y
An update on The latest analysis of the world values survey.
Inglehart set a standard with "Modernization and Post-modernization". This book brought me up to date on his latest thinking. I am particularly interested on the impact of Post-modernization on Strauss and Howe's generation cycles. The big question is: will post-moderns act the same way as the greatest generation did at the time of WWII. We are entering the crisis period of the Generation cycle, and this is a critical question. If someone calls a war and no-one is willing to fight, what then?
E**D
A Warning to the Curious (apologies to M.R. James)
Applies Maslow's hierarchy of needs to whole cultures, includes enough data to substantiate the conclusions.
D**R
As advertised
Well delivered
Y**R
MOST OF THE BOOK PRESENTS IMPORTANT FINDINGS
This book presents an attractive “Evolutionary Modernization Theory,” presented in modules based on surveys over many years covering most of humanity. The overall thesis states that “high levels of economic and physical security encourage a shift from Materialist to Postmaterialist values. This makes people more favorable to a variety of social changes, ranging from greater emphasis on environmental protection to democratization. It is also bringing growing acceptance of gender equality and homosexuality.Religion” (p. 77). However “value changes involve very long time-lags between the onset of the conditions leading to them, and the societal changes they produce” p. 79).Many related issues are considered, such as different pathways of cultural change depending on historic traditions, changing but persistent importance of religion, and the process of culture “changing slowly in high-income societies, mainly through intergenerational population replacement” (p. 77). Striking isthe finding that “the strongest predictor of a society’s level of support for new values will not be its current levels of per capita GDP, life expectancy and infant mortality, but levels that prevailed several decades ago [...] [leading to] a tipping point at which new norms become perceived as dominant” (p. 85).All this makes fascinating reading and provides important inputs into an as-yet underdeveloped plausible theory of macro-history. Therefore, I think this book should be read by all concerned with the current evolution of culture.However, the book has a number of weaknesses. Minor ones include outdated genetic conjectures; ignoring the Chinese One Child policy; overrating the late 1960s and 1970s student protests; and surface treatment of “subjective existential security,” defining “as measured by per capita GDP, life expectancy and infant mortality” (p. 88), ignoring depth-psychological aspects and playing down existential fear of death.More serious is neglect of the interaction between culture and technology. The author recognizes that “Effective birth control technology, labor-saving devices, improved childcare facilities and very low infant mortality make it possible for women to have full-time careers and children” (p. 78). But a single sentence does not do justice to the crucial role of technology in enabling value changes. Thus, family planning chemicals and Viagra are the basis of modern sexual mores and reproduction rates, but they are ignored in the book.Most disturbing of all is misunderstanding of the basic problem of expanded democracy (discussed in pp. 117ff). Increasing political skills of citizen are categorically different from understanding of policy issues, which is lacking. As demonstrated by many surveys (not mentioned in the book), schooling and also most of university studies do not provide understanding of increasingly complex issues, such as robotics and gene editing. Therefore, unless and until a radical transformation of public understanding of policy issues comes about, knowledge elites have to be in charge of critical choices, not the desires and feelings of citizen as a whole.Misunderstanding of this issue in the book leaves me with a bad taste – all the more so as fateful issues become more complex and the vast majority of politicians are as ignorant about them as citizen.The two final chapters, devoted to “The Silent Revolution in Reverse: The Rise of Trump and the Authoritarian Populist Parties” and “The Coming of Artificial Intelligence Society” do not help. But I leave discussion to a review of a 2019 book by the author and Pippa Norris, which I hope deals with current and emerging issues more professionally.Professor Yehezkel DrorThe Hebrew University of Jerusalem
L**S
If when you read the news and feel your hair is on fire
because of Trump, Brexit, and the worldwide shift away from democracy, this book is for you. Deeply researched, but clearly written Cultural Evolution explains the pressures ordinary people are under and why they are turning away from democracy or voting for authoritarians. The final chapter warns of the Coming of Artificial Intelligence Society and what it means now and will mean in the future. This book is a must-read for thoughtful and concerned Americans.
H**E
A sweeping quantitative analysis of cultural changes.
Shows the effects of modernization around the world.
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